LIVE: Ida to make landfall soon, Tropical Storm Julian forms - WMBF

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MYRTLE BEACH, SC (WMBF) - Ida will make landfall close to 1 PM this afternoon and Tropical Storm Julian has formed. Let’s focus on the big story with Ida expected to bring catastrophic damage to Louisiana.

An Extreme Wind Warning has been issued with winds of 115 mph plus expected!(WMBF)

At 11 AM, the eye of Hurricane Ida was located by reconnaissance aircraft and NWS Doppler radar near latitude 28.8 North, longitude 90.0 West. Ida is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph . A slightly slower northwestward motion should continue through this evening. A turn toward the north should occur by Monday morning, followed by a slightly faster northeastward motion by Monday night and Tuesday.

Ida is a strong category four hurricane and will bring catastrophic damage to Louisiana this afternoon/evening.(WMBF)

On the forecast track, the center of Ida will make landfall along the coast of southeastern Louisiana within the hurricane warning area within the next few hours. Ida is then forecast to move well inland over portions of Louisiana and western Mississippi Monday and Monday night, and move across the Tennessee Valley on Tuesday. Reports from NOAA and Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicated that the maximum sustained winds are near 150 mph with higher gusts. Ida is an extremely dangerous category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.

Ida will make landfall this afternoon.(WMBF)

Some slight additional strengthening is still possible before Ida moves onshore along the Louisiana coast. Rapid weakening is expected after landfall. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 50 miles from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles . An elevated NOAA C-MAN station at Southwest Pass recently reported a sustained wind of 105 mph and a wind gust of 121 mph. A station in Shell Beach, Louisiana, recently reported a sustained wind of 44 mph and a gust of 52 mph. A NOAA National Ocean Service tide gauge in Shell Beach, Louisiana, recently reported a water level of 5.6 feet above mean higher high water, which is an approximation of inundation in that area. The latest minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is 933 mb.

Here's a look at the forecast for storm surge where issues are expected to form.(WMBF)

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the east of the landfall location, where the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.

Ida's wind gusts will range from 100-120+ mph along the coast throughout the duration of the event today.(WMBF)

WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the Hurricane Warning area along the Louisiana coast beginning by later this morning with tropical storm conditions expected to begin by early this morning. These conditions will spread inland over portions of Louisiana and Mississippi tonight and Monday.

10-20 inches of rain can be expected from Ida in Louisiana.(WMBF)

RAINFALL: Heavy rainfall from Ida will begin to impact the southeast Louisiana coast this morning, spreading northeast into the Lower Mississippi Valley later today into Monday. Total rainfall accumulations of 10 to 18 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 24 inches are possible across southeast Louisiana into far southern Mississippi through Monday. This is likely to result in life-threatening flash and urban flooding and significant riverine flooding impacts. Ida is forecast to turn to the northeast early Monday and track across the Middle Tennessee Valley and Ohio Valley through Wednesday, producing the following rainfall totals: Coastal Alabama to the far western Florida panhandle: 5 to 10 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches, today through Tuesday morning. Central Mississippi: 4 to 8 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches, tonight through Monday night. Middle Tennessee Valley to the Ohio Valley: 3 to 6 inches with isolated higher amounts, Tuesday into Wednesday. These rainfall totals will result in considerable flash and riverine flooding.

TORNADOES: Tornadoes will be possible today into Monday from southeast Louisiana across southeast Mississippi and southwest Alabama to the western Florida Panhandle.

SURF: Swells are beginning to reach the northern Gulf coast and will continue to affect that area through Monday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

Chances of development continue to increase with an 80% chance of development of another wave coming off the coast of Africa.(WMBF)

Tropical Storm Julian

Julian is now a tropical storm and will continue to move to the northeast.(WMBF)

At 11 AM, the center of Tropical Storm Julian was located near latitude 35.1 North, longitude 46.8 West. Julian is moving toward the northeast near 17 mph.

Tropical Storm Julian has formed and poses no threat to the United States.(WMBF)

A faster motion toward the northeast and then north over the north Atlantic is expected through Tuesday. Satellite-derived wind data indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is anticipated through tonight. Weakening should begin on Monday, with Julian likely becoming post-tropical by Monday evening. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb.

Tropical Depression Ten

At 11 AM, the center of Tropical Depression Ten was located near latitude 18.8 North, longitude 50.2 West. The depression is moving toward the north near 12 mph. A motion toward the north or north-northeast at a slower forward speed is expected through Wednesday, keeping the depression over the central Atlantic during the upcoming week. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next couple of days, but the depression could become a tropical storm by Tuesday or Wednesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb.

No systems pose a threat to the Carolinas at this time.

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