15336 North Carolina Voters Can Act Now to Make Their Vote Count - Sightline Institute

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North Carolina voters are among those in the spotlight this election as the state plays a key role in the Electoral College path to the White House. Throughout October, Sightline has been analyzing North Carolina’s absentee ballot return data. North Carolina’s data is more accessible and more detailed than most other states, providing the opportunity for in depth analysis. Our previous articles parsed the data to date by voters’ race, by party, and by county. 

North Carolinians voted absentee in record-breaking numbers this general election. More than 920,000 absentee ballots have already been accepted to be counted. Among those, 5,000 ballots were initially rejected but voters used the cure process to fix the problems and get their vote counted. But more than 22,000 absentee ballots are currently not being counted. More than 6,000 voters have initiated the cure process to fix any problems. If successful, their votes will be counted. That still leaves 15,336 North Carolina voters who submitted their ballot but forgot to sign or to get a witness to sign (around 10,000) or forgot to write their witness’s name and address (around 5,000). Unless these voters go through the process to cure those problems, their vote won’t be counted. The margin of victory in the presidential race and US Senate race could be in the thousands, so every one of those rejected absentee votes could make a difference. 

North Carolina voters who submitted an absentee ballot and want to make sure it counts can check the status of their ballot here. 

Chart 1: Thousands of North Carolina absentee votes will not be counted unless voters take action. 

Rejected Ballots by Race

Black voters were less likely to vote by mail, and more likely to have their ballots rejected. Of the 22,000 ballots that are not yet accepted to be counted, more than half are from white voters and more than one-quarter are from Black voters, even though white voters made up 68 percent of all absentee ballots returned, and Black voters made up only 15 percent. Including the initially rejected but now cured ballots as accepted, Black voters absentee ballots are still being rejected at more than twice the rate of white voters: 4.5 percent for Black compared to 1.8 percent for white. If all the voters who have started the cure process (teal in the Chart 2, below) successfully get their vote counted, that would bring rejection rates down but slightly increase the racial disparity—3.1 percent of Black absentee voters would still be rejected compared to 1.3 percent of white (see Table 1). 

Of the 4,567 Black absentee voters that can still cure their ballots, 64 percent live in just nine counties: Wake, Mecklenburg, Guilford, Cumberland, Forsyth, New Hanover, Durham, Pitt, and Gaston.

Chart 2: Black voter make up 15 percent of absentee voters but 28 percent of rejections

Table 1: Even after the cure process, Black voters absentee ballots are disproportionately rejected in North Carolina 

Race	Total Absentee Ballots Returned	Initially Accepted	Accepted after Cure Process	Rejected	Percent Rejected	Pending Cure	Percent rejected if all pending cure are accepted
White	653,783	638,132	3,428	11,502	1.8%	3,285	1.3%
Black	147,095	139,100	1,098	6,647	4.5%	2,080	3.1%
Other/No Information	151,817	147,045	630	3,859	2.5%	1,307	1.7%
All	952,695	924,277	5,156	22,008	2.3%	6,672	1.6%

Rejected Ballots by Party

Democrats voted absentee in higher numbers than Republicans, so it is not surprising that there are more than 8,000 Democratic ballots still needing to be cured in order to be counted, and just 2,500 such Republican ballots. Even if all ballots in the cure queue get accepted, Democrats would still have 5,697 more rejected absentee votes than Republicans. Voters not registered with either party saw slightly lower rates of rejection: 1.9 percent for unaffiliated voters compared to 2.3 percent overall. 

Chart 3: More Democratic ballots have been rejected than Republican. 

Table 2: The cure process does not alter the partisan gap in absentee ballot rejections.

Party	Total Absentee Ballots Returned	Initially Accepted	Accepted after Cure Process	Rejected	Percent Rejected	Pending Cure	Percent rejected if all pending cure are accepted
Democratic	433,353	418,631	2,354	11,795	2.7%	3,349	2.0%
Republican	193,821	188,230	1,281	4,094	2.1%	1,345	1.4%
Other	325,521	317,416	1,521	6,119	1.9%	1,978	1.3%
All	952,695	924,277	5,156	22,008	2.3%	6,672	1.6%

Rejected Ballots by County

Voters in some counties are determined to have their vote count. More than 90 percent of voters whose ballots were rejected in Union, Johnston, Davidson, and Nash Counties have either already gotten their ballot cured and accepted or started the process. More than half of the voters whose ballots were rejected in Guilford, Durham, Buncombe, Cabarrus, Almance, Catawba, Orange, Randolph, Brunswick, Rowan, Robeson, Wayne, Henderson, and Moore  County have started the process to make sure their vote counts. 

Forsyth, Onslow, and Robeson Counties are behind the ball — they haven’t accepted a single voter’s attempt to cure their rejected ballot. In Forsyth, Gaston, Onslow, Rockingham, and Burke Counties, fewer than 10 percent of rejected voters have attempted to cure their ballots. Perhaps those county election officials have not yet notified voters that their ballot was rejected but can be fixed.  

Table 3: In some counties, most voters are making sure their vote is counted by pursuing the cure process.

Pop.tion Rank	County	Total Absentee Ballots Returned	Accepted	Cured – Accepted	Rejected (including pending cure)	Percent Rejected	Pending Cure	Percent completed or in cure process
	All	952,695	924,277	5,156	22,008	2.3%	6,672	44%
1	WAKE	170,437	165,948	362	3,789	2.2%	804	28%
2	MECKLENBURG	128,702	126,602	87	1,995	1.6%	601	33%
3	GUILFORD	48,114	45,605	26	2,327	4.9%	1253	54%
4	FORSYTH	41,227	39,863	0	1,129	2.8%	98	9%
5	CUMBERLAND	22,470	21,380	137	953	4.2%	390	48%
6	DURHAM	46,304	45,197	251	855	1.8%	370	56%
7	BUNCOMBE	35,367	34,024	306	917	2.6%	455	62%
8	UNION	18,804	18,307	224	220	1.2%	195	94%
9	NEW HANOVER	26,956	25,219	162	1,476	5.5%	161	20%
10	GASTON	15,843	15,349	10	433	2.7%	11	5%
11	CABARRUS	20,604	20,426	115	63	0.3%	2	66%
12	JOHNSTON	15,048	14,956	88	4	0.0%	0	96%
13	ONSLOW	8,889	8,747	0	142	1.6%	10	7%
14	IREDELL	16,566	16,509	14	43	0.3%	0	25%
15	PITT	10,723	10,246	77	398	3.7%	62	29%
16	ALAMANCE	14,262	14,002	118	142	1.0%	17	52%
17	DAVIDSON	11,115	10,826	73	216	1.9%	193	92%
18	CATAWBA	9,826	9,420	153	252	2.6%	79	57%
19	ORANGE	25,319	25,029	128	162	0.6%	48	61%
20	RANDOLPH	7,355	7,015	140	200	2.7%	91	68%
21	BRUNSWICK	18,234	17,271	312	651	3.6%	213	55%
22	ROWAN	9,876	9,619	138	119	1.2%	21	62%
23	HARNETT	8,424	8,141	49	221	2.6%	55	39%
24	ROBESON	3,452	3,143	0	308	8.9%	217	70%
25	WAYNE	6,739	6,449	115	170	2.5%	43	55%
26	HENDERSON	14,882	14,667	118	91	0.6%	52	81%
27	CRAVEN	8,885	8,485	115	267	3.0%	49	43%
28	MOORE	10,908	10,583	167	158	1.4%	61	70%
29	CLEVELAND	5,439	5,319	2	118	2.2%	52	45%
30	NASH	5,278	5,142	136	0	0.0%	0	100%
31	ROCKINGHAM	4,218	4,047	0	169	4.0%	0	0%
32	BURKE	5,089	4,924	1	155	3.1%	0	1%
33	LINCOLN	6,215	5,969	34	212	3.4%	33	27%
34	CALDWELL	4,773	4,557	78	129	2.7%	23	49%
35	WILSON	4,288	4,231	15	41	1.0%	9	43%
36	CHATHAM	12,051	11,930	18	103	0.9%	15	27%
37	SURRY	4,691	4,496	61	134	2.9%	21	42%
38	FRANKLIN	4,190	3,939	42	207	4.9%	131	69%
39	CARTERET	5,012	4,823	44	144	2.9%	8	28%
40	WILKES	4,237	4,100	94	43	1.0%	14	79%
41	RUTHERFORD	4,202	4,013	10	111	2.7%	37	39%
42	SAMPSON	1,783	1,780	0	3	0.2%	1	33%
43	PENDER	4,088	4,047	18	22	0.5%	10	70%
44	STANLY	3,461	3,286	62	110	3.2%	31	54%
45	HAYWOOD	5,990	5,900	61	29	0.5%	15	84%
46	LEE	4,006	3,843	51	111	2.8%	41	57%
47	GRANVILLE	4,083	3,880	72	130	3.2%	59	65%
48	DUPLIN	1,634	1,617	0	17	1.0%	7	41%
49	WATAUGA	5,003	4,853	11	139	2.8%	5	11%
50	LENOIR	2,997	2,858	54	84	2.8%	51	76%
51	COLUMBUS	1,892	1,779	0	110	5.8%	41	37%
52	HOKE	2,601	2,554	21	26	1.0%	11	68%
53	EDGECOMBE	2,068	2,066	0	2	0.1%	0	0%
54	HALIFAX	1,825	1,777	1	47	2.6%	23	50%
55	BEAUFORT	2,981	2,726	82	156	5.3%	34	49%
56	MCDOWELL	1,788	1,661	42	85	4.8%	11	42%
57	STOKES	2,488	2,419	36	33	1.3%	23	86%
58	RICHMOND	1,778	1,665	31	82	4.6%	21	46%
59	VANCE	2,501	2,300	64	137	5.5%	51	57%
60	JACKSON	2,848	2,676	20	152	5.3%	12	19%
61	DAVIE	3,008	2,939	23	46	1.5%	9	46%
62	PASQUOTANK	2,416	2,291	4	121	5.0%	42	37%
63	PERSON	2,275	2,195	22	58	2.5%	14	45%
64	YADKIN	2,083	1,984	45	54	2.6%	15	61%
65	ALEXANDER	1,780	1,685	31	64	3.6%	12	45%
66	DARE	3,624	3,570	13	41	1.1%	17	56%
67	MACON	1,926	1,924	1	0	0.0%	0	100%
68	SCOTLAND	1,553	1,467	37	49	3.2%	12	57%
69	TRANSYLVANIA	3,870	3,789	21	60	1.6%	7	35%
70	BLADEN	1,257	1,191	15	51	4.1%	1	24%
71	CHEROKEE	1,981	1,960	21	0	0.0%	0	100%
72	CURRITUCK	1,250	1,239	9	2	0.2%	0	82%
73	ASHE	1,932	1,931	0	1	0.1%	0	0%
74	MONTGOMERY	1,014	989	11	14	1.4%	4	60%
75	ANSON	779	753	0	26	3.3%	0	0%
76	HERTFORD	16	13	0	3	18.8%	0	0%
77	CASWELL	1,339	1,205	59	73	5.5%	13	55%
78	MARTIN	1,173	1,071	16	84	7.2%	36	52%
79	MADISON	1,680	1,634	19	27	1.6%	9	61%
80	GREENE	906	840	19	46	5.1%	8	42%
81	POLK	2,568	2,465	32	70	2.7%	9	40%
82	WARREN	1,316	1,268	10	34	2.6%	3	30%
83	NORTHAMPTON	978	899	21	55	5.6%	18	51%
84	BERTIE	776	694	1	81	10.4%	41	51%
85	YANCEY	1,555	1,494	6	54	3.5%	18	40%
86	AVERY	889	839	23	27	3.0%	14	74%
87	MITCHELL	993	974	12	7	0.7%	5	89%
88	SWAIN	341	336	2	3	0.9%	2	80%
89	CHOWAN	798	769	7	21	2.6%	2	32%
90	PERQUIMANS	533	533	0	0	0.0%	0	NA
91	PAMLICO	1,044	1,040	0	4	0.4%	3	75%
92	WASHINGTON	641	633	5	3	0.5%	0	63%
93	GATES	556	539	0	17	3.1%	1	6%
94	CLAY	754	717	14	21	2.8%	6	57%
95	ALLEGHANY	727	710	6	11	1.5%	2	47%
96	CAMDEN	493	474	0	19	3.9%	2	11%
97	JONES	398	395	1	2	0.5%	0	33%
98	GRAHAM	356	348	0	8	2.2%	2	25%
99	HYDE	211	201	4	6	2.8%	4	80%
100	TYRRELL	77	74	0	3	3.9%	0	0%

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15336 North Carolina Voters Can Act Now to Make Their Vote Count - Sightline Institute
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